Prediction of Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Pareja at W100 Edmond 10-09-25

• In second serve performance over the last six months, Elizabeth Mandlik has a slight edge, winning 41.11% of points compared to Julieta Pareja's 39.75%.
• Both players show similar strengths in returning their opponent's serves, with Mandlik winning 53.42% of second-serve return points and Pareja 50.75%.
• Pareja, however, slightly edges Mandlik in first serve return points, securing 37.18% compared to Mandlik's 35.15%.
• Under pressure, Pareja has been more successful, saving 47.86% of breakpoints versus Mandlik’s 43.57%.
• In terms of overall matches won over the past year, Pareja boasts a 68.18% win ratio, outperforming Mandlik’s 55.56% record.
• Mandlik performs best on Grass with a career win rate of 60%, while Pareja excels on Clay with the same 60% success rate.
• On the ITF and Challenger circuit, Pareja again shows superior form, winning 71.43% of her matches compared to Mandlik’s 60.47%.
• Their previous direct encounter saw Pareja emerge victorious, winning two out of three sets.
• The average quality of opponents faced by Pareja and Mandlik is comparable, but Pareja has a slightly tougher average opponent rank at 281.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Pareja's 86% win rate outstrips Mandlik’s 50%, indicating strong performance in high-pressure situations.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Elizabeth Mandlik and Julieta Pareja appears to tilt slightly in favor of Pareja, based on available statistics and recent performance trends.

Pareja demonstrates a more consistent ability to save breakpoints and perform under pressure, evident from her superior 86% deciding set win percentage.

Additionally, Pareja's overall higher win rate and previous head-to-head victory against Mandlik add to her apparent advantage.

While Mandlik showcases strengths on her second serve and has improved return statistics, Pareja's experience against stronger opponents and her adaptability across surfaces reinforce her favored status.

Considering these facts, Julieta Pareja is the more likely candidate to win the upcoming match.